Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 104.204676 118.309956 133.827325 152.198602 173.398452 197.145433 225.831765
2026-02-01 84.329047 102.897879 125.011059 153.419220 189.136369 232.802205 290.607010
2026-02-08 71.015131 91.127953 116.453649 150.941019 197.075064 257.211889 342.439381
2026-02-15 62.982279 84.186590 112.127533 152.045807 208.270663 285.621235 401.796824
2026-02-22 57.094968 79.030843 109.087164 153.852277 219.814561 314.987596 465.536508
2026-03-01 50.752684 72.365682 102.981355 150.237551 222.641721 331.537952 511.836224
2026-03-08 45.722783 66.953233 97.942403 147.350662 225.799618 348.381708 560.118300
2026-03-15 41.898832 62.881547 94.371915 146.119351 231.076614 368.705102 616.211171
2026-03-22 40.142371 61.736666 95.055123 151.491228 247.326317 408.371033 710.192400
2026-03-29 38.332327 60.302489 95.083954 155.689128 261.918139 446.721156 806.961316
2026-04-05 35.754431 57.383175 92.413170 155.009137 267.886011 470.477100 879.736714
2026-04-12 33.828090 55.355148 91.001660 156.287734 277.343834 501.415285 970.420930
2026-04-19 31.376808 52.438043 88.165531 155.389038 283.922608 530.093999 1066.163670
2026-04-26 29.504661 50.375045 86.658937 156.838518 295.326050 570.093440 1193.648787
2026-05-03 27.248261 47.416009 83.254784 154.308791 298.567010 594.095235 1290.542373
2026-05-10 25.743049 45.664419 81.858109 155.441338 309.237457 634.838466 1432.694858
2026-05-17 24.476007 44.229807 80.897905 157.292511 321.570972 680.812770 1595.862442
2026-05-24 22.655295 41.593741 77.400718 153.588439 321.499189 699.165382 1694.305155
2026-05-31 21.095671 39.328236 74.420021 150.630357 322.672135 720.468954 1804.339944
2026-06-07 19.862259 37.597725 72.344535 149.368727 327.497242 751.030300 1945.005810
2026-06-14 19.419901 37.398073 73.334903 154.873078 348.706174 824.575179 2219.906081
2026-06-21 18.879690 36.952310 73.770355 159.174852 367.604358 895.271807 2502.437689
2026-06-28 17.920212 35.564608 72.100299 158.478015 374.127399 934.846835 2700.457007